Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Jahvid Best vs. Joe McKnight – Battle of the #1 #4s.


I know, I know. It’s WAY too early to begin the comparisons. They’ve both only played one season (with Jahvid not even finishing his). It’s retarded to compare two players just because they’re sophomore running backs in the Pac-10. Joe McKnight is sooo much better than Best. Best is sooo much faster than McKnight…blah blah blah.

Forgive me, it’s the college football offseason, and I have to indulge in various comparisons and inane stretches of “analysis.” But some of the similarities are worth looking at, even on my blog.

Both have been compared to Reggie Bush, with Desean Jackson going so far as to call Best “Little Bush.” Both were some of the most highly recruited running back prospects in the country, with McKnight obviously having received a bit more press. Both played as true freshman and immediately got playing time, and subsequently, both made immediate impacts for their teams. Oh, and both wear number 4.

That’s enough for me to take a look at both players and compare and contrast their performance thus far, and a take glimpse at who might end up eclipsing the other when it’s all said and done.

Let’s take a quick look at a quick Tale of the Tape

Name: Joe McKnight

DOB: 4/16/1988

Hometown: River Ridge, Louisiana

Height: 6-0.

Weight: 180 lbs.


Name: Jahvid Best

DOB: 1/30/1989

Hometown: Vallejo, California

Height: 5’10.

Weight:193 lbs



Instant Impact?

Both backs began their respective college careers as the third string backups on their team. With Emmanuel Moody’s transfer to the Florida Gators, McKnight would jump to near the top of the ridiculous RB deep depth chart, backing up CJ Gable and Chauncey Washington.

Best was projected to back up senior Justin Forsett and Redshirt Freshman James Montgomery.

Both coaches Jeff Tedford and Pete Carroll recognized there was far too much talent in the players to keep them redshirted. However, it is important to speculate that a big reason why Tedford (who had typically only heavily used two backs per season in his time with Cal) would choose not to redshirt Best would be because of his skill at the punt return gunner position (more on that later).

Despite being third on each team’s depth charts, both backs were expected to see their fair share of playing time. And play they did.

At various points in the season, both players made the presence felt in numerous facets of the game (rushing, receiving, and special teams). Fans for both USC and Cal grew increasingly excited not only in what future seasons would bring, but what the 2007 season would bring, and how many ESPN highlights would go along with it.

Jahvid Best’s 1st Collegiate TD

Joe McKnight 1st Collegiate TD


Here’s a quick statistical breakdown of how they did in their first seasons.

2007

Joe McKnight

Jahvid Best

Rushing

Attempts

94

29

Yards

540

221

AVG

5.7

7.6

LNG

65

64

TD

3

2

Receiving



REC

23

13

Yards

203

74

Average

8.8

5.7

Long

32

16

Touchdown

1

1

RUSHING

As you can see, Best had significantly fewer carries than McKnight, only 30.8% as many as McKnight to be exact. He never had a game in which he saw more than 4 carries, and his injury midway through the USC game, sidelined him for the rest of the season, allowing him to only play 9.5 games versus the 12 that McKnight played, including USC’s Rose Bowl win over Illinois (McKnight did not play versus Washington).

Despite that, Best was a threat every time he touched the ball, ripping off a ridiculous 7.6 YPC to go along with 221 yards. McKnight benefited from having more than three times as many more carries as Best, but only more than doubled Best’s rushing total. It’s difficult to try and extrapolate those numbers and see what Best would have done with as many carries as McKnight. He may have gained as many yards, but the increase in the number of carries may have also adversely affected his high YPC.

Both also showed the ability to break the big one on a number of occasions, with both of their longest rushes being nearly identical at 65 yards for McKnight and 64 for Best.

RECEIVING

More or less the same story. Best gets fewer balls thrown to him, and hence gets fewer yards. But it’s a bit harder this time to deny that McKnight was utilized more often as a receiving threat than Best, and given the opportunity, did more when he did catch the ball. With nearly twice as many catches, McKnight almost tripled the number of receiving yards as Best. But again, given how few yards and catches we’re talking about here, the differences are almost negligible.

SPECIAL TEAMS

This is where it gets a little bit more interesting and perhaps a bit more difficult to compare because Best and McKnight were utilized heavily but very differently in a Special Teams capacity.

McKnight was used as USC’s top punt returner, returning 19 punts for 160 yards for a 8.4 YPC, and a long of 45. While he had a few breakout punt returns, specifically against Illinois in the Rose Bowl, he was a bit more quiet with the majority of his other returns.

Best on the other hand was selected for kickoff return duties alongside wide receiver Lavelle Hawkins. He returned 15 kickoffs for 405 yards (with a long of 54), and an average of 27.0 YPC, finishing second in the Pac-10 in that category.

Finally, one of the areas that might go statistically under the radar is Best’s performance as a standout punt team gunner. In 2007, he tacked on 12 tackles and a fumble recovery onto his short but impressive resume. Many argue that it was this X-Factor that ultimately pushed Coach Tedford to choose Best to play as a true frosh over other highly-recruited freshman Shane Vereen, given both were and still are, considered incredibly talented players.

2008 and Beyond…

McKnight has been declared academically ineligible…but it won’t affect his eligibility for the fall. That’s got to be a relief for Trojan fans who were hootin’ and hollerin’ at USC’s practices when they saw McKnight rip off huge plays as a receiver, tail back, and in the return game.

McKnight already has some early Heisman hype, but Desean Jackson will be the first to tell you that it doesn’t matter what you do in Spring, or even the first game. It matters what you do consistently throughout the season to even be considered. Even in a best case scenario, I can’t image McKnight being seriously considered for the award as a true sophomore, although he may set himself up beautifully to run away with it his Junior year if all goes well for him and his Trojans.

Best’s hip pointer injury has held him out of spring contact drills, allowing him to only participate in individual drills, but should be ready to go for the fall. Given the depth and youth of Cal’s running back group, the starting position is fairly open which may jeopardize the number of carries Best might receive. But having the most game time experience of the group (at a whopping 29 carries), expect Best to have the larger share of carries next year.

The good news is that assuming both players can stay healthy, eligible, and out of trouble, we’re in store for at least two more years of debate. That is of course unless a player begins to fade with his productivity on the field, but considering what we’ve seen thus far, it’s highly unlikely that that will be the case. They’ll be pushed for playing time by the competition and depth at their respective tail back spots, but as of now, these guys expect to be the featured backs in the next season or two. This will most likely be an issue that we’ll revisit more often, especially as the season breaks out and college football fans nationwide begin to see what these guys can do as main men in the spotlight.

My Opinion?

My bias as a Cal fan has naturally pushed me in favor of Jahvid Best, also because I’ve had the chance to see him play more than the few highlights I’ve been able to catch of McKnight. But more than anything, I’m excited that we may even have a true discussion of the best running backs in the conference and possibly the country in the next few years.

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Thursday, May 8, 2008

NCAA Football Cover Curse?

When I reported earlier in the week that Desean Jackson was going to appear on the Playstation 2’s version of NCAA Football 09, my excitement was somewhat stifled by my friend’s response after I told him the news. He said, “Hope he doesn’t get the EA curse.”

Huh.

Was there such a thing for NCAA Football? Most self respecting Madden videogame and/or NFL fans are aware of the infamous Madden Curse with NFL pro players. For those of you not in the know, it’s been well publicized that nearly every player who has had the honor but eventual misfortune of gracing the cover of each year’s version of Madden Football, has found their career set in crap stick reverse afterwards. Sometimes it takes mere months, sometimes it takes seasons, but sooner or later, big bad John Madden is going to get ya.



So I wasn’t completely sure about NCAA’s cover stars, so I decided to do some investigating and see what misfortunes if any, have struck those who’ve been forever ingrained on the covers of past iterations of NCAA Football.


[Editor's Note: Using the Curse Rating System. 1 = No evidence of a curse at all, 10 = living proof of a curse]


NCAA Football 08 – Jared Zabranksy.


Zabransky was the second athlete featured on the cover that was not drafted in the NFL following his senior year of college. So why was he even featured in the first place? He just happened to be the QB who led one of the most amazing finishes to one of the most amazing games in college football history. That's all.


Zabransky was signed as a free agent with the Houston Texans last year, before he was eventually cut in September. In February, he has reportedly signed a two-year contract with the Pittsburgh Steelers.


Curse Rating: NA


NCAA Football 07 – Reggie Bush.


The "most electrifying player in college football" pre-Desean Jackson, has done okay in the NFL in his short two years. Only rushing for 565 yards for 6 TDs (3.6 YPC) in his rookie campaign, he however, caught 742 yards receiving, with two TDs. While not having the type of rookie impact that Adrian Peterson or even Marshawn Lynch would have a year later, Bush was an important part of the Saints’ turnaround.


Bush would have a more disappointing 2007 campaign with just 6 total Touchdowns, and 581 yards rushing, 3.6 YPC, and only 417 yards receiving. The numbers while comparable to his first year's, mask the fact that more was expected of Bush coming into his sophomore campaign. People began getting nervous when Mario Williams had as many sacks last season as Bush had touchdowns in his entire career. Umm…


Where the emergence of a curse really begins brewing though is in the allegations that Reggie Bush received $291,000 in illegal cash, a car and other goods from sports agent Lloyd Lake in his time at USC. Don Yaeger’s Book, Tarnished Heisman gives a detailed breakdown of what is believed to be the events surrounding the case. Bush will have to give his deposition in June, and if he is found to be guilty of the charges, the proverbial crap storm would fly in a lot of people’s faces. Heisman trophy gone. And if USC is found to have known about all this? Eesh. National Championships, gone. Winning seasons, gone.


So this one is pending, but if it is true, Bush could become the NCAA Cover Curse Cover Boy.


Curse Rating: 8/10 (Pending)


NCAA Football 06 – Desmond Howard.


Desmond Howard? WTH? Didn’t he win the Heisman back in 1991? Well EA’s new Race for the Heisman mode that year prompted them to go old school, and pick a Heisman winner from back in the day. And who better than the player who actually struck the Heisman pose late in the season after returning a punt for a touchdown?


Unproductive as a receiver, Howard would go on to only net 123 catches for 1,597 yards, and 7 TDs in his 11-season career in the pros. To give you some context , Randy Moss had 98 catches, 1,493 yards, and 23 TDs last season. However, Howard excelled as a punt and kick-off returner on special teams, with his most notable return being his 99-yard kick-off return in Super Bowl XXXI that sealed their victory against the New England Patriots. You can catch him now on the College Gameday Set with Herbstreit, Corso, and Fowler.


Curse Rating: 5/10.


NCAA Football 2005 – Larry Fitzgerald


Already a multiple time pro-bowler, Fitzgerald has become a franchise wide receiver. Benefiting from a pass-heavy offense with the Arizona Cardinals, Fitzgerald has already had league-best receiving seasons. While he hasn't quite put himself in the same echelon as receivers like Terrell Owens, Randy Moss, or Marvin Harrison, Fitzgerald has put himself on that path quite quickly in his short career.

Curse Rating: 2/10



NCAA Football 2004 – Carson Palmer


Carson Palmer has done almost everything you could expect of a Heisman trophy winning quarterback and a #1 overall draft pick. He's become the face of the franchise, and has the records to back him up.


There are 2 factors though that have the Curse Gods getting a tad bit excited:


1) Palmer's working on a bump knee after tearing it in the 2005 playoff game against the Steelers. While he's bounced back well, he's one bad hit away from hanging it up for good.


2) He plays for the Bengals. It's becoming increasingly evident that this team isn't really going anywhere. And his wide outs are flaking. Big time. Chad Johnson? Chris Henry?

(Dane Cook voice) "Ummm...hello?"


Curse Rating: 3/10


NCAA Football 2003 – Joey Harrington


Joey Joey Joey. Example of Tedford student who can't put it together in the pros. Franchise Savior to 1st Round Draft Bust. NFL Journeyman QB. Joey Harrington is a lot of things to a lot of different fans and players.


In my personal opinion, Harrington hasn't had a real fair shake with any of the teams he's been with. You can look at a lot of reasons why Harrington hasn't been able to find consistent success with his teams. Crappy teams. Bad coaching. Being thrust into starting roles when not ready. Who knows. It's easily disputable as to whether Harrington is just not cut out to be an NFL starting QB or whether the circumstances have never panned themselves out for him. Even so, it's still hard to give the guy anything lower than a 6.


Curse Rating: 6/10


NCAA Football 2002 – Chris Weinke


Chris Weinke had the unfortunate displeasure of being thrust into a starting role with the Carolina Panthers in his rookie season. The good news was that he would go on to win his first game. The bad news was that he would go on to lose the next 17. That's an NFL record. Even Joe Ayoob's 10 straight incompletions in the 2005 Sacramento St. game thinks that's intense.


Yeah...Weinke wouldn't see to much playing time after that. Serving in a backup role, he would fill in for an injured Jake Delhomme here and there. Weinke was last cut from the San Francisco 49ers. If the 49ers don't need a QB, then man, I don't know who would.


Curse Rating: 7/10


NCAA Football 2001 – Shaun Alexander


The only player to be on both the NCAA and Madden's cover, Shaun Alexander avoided the EA curse the first time. Shaun Alexander was the man. Rushing records, leading his team to the Superbowl, pro bowls, an MVP award, Offensive Player of the Year, record contracts, he had it all.


Then he decided to ask test luck again and appeared on the cover of Madden 07...and broke his toe in the 3rd week of the following season. And broke his wrist the following year. And then he got cut by the same Seahawks who only two years ago had signed him to a league-high 8 year $62 million contract. On the field, it was all gone.


I think Shaun MIGHT still have a good two or three years left in him, but you might need to stick a fork in him. He was lucky to have gotten by for so long. Like the George Dubya once said, "Fool me once..."



Curse Rating: 7/10


NCAA Football 2000 – Ricky Williams (RB, Texas).


Ahh Ricky Williams. The first thing you need to know about Ricky is the price that teams have paid to get him, specifically draft picks. Mike Ditka and the New Orleans Saints gave up all of their 1999 Draft picks to get him, as well as their 1st and 3rd round picks the following year. When that didn’t work out, the Dolphins traded for him three years later for two first round picks. Eesh, you could build an eventual Superbowl contender with all those picks.


Fortunately, Williams would be incredibly productive with the Dolphins, leading the NFL with his first year with them with 1,853 yards, and earning Pro Bowl honors. While Williams could be productive on the field, he couldn’t stay healthy or clean off it. Diagnosed with depression and social anxiety disorder, Williams officially retired from the NFL in August 2004, after failing a number of drug tests. He then revealed his plans to study Ayurveda, the ancient Indian system of holistic medicine. Let’s just say even the Manning brothers and their Double Stuff Racing League thought that was a dumb idea.


(We're making history!")


Needless to say the whole holistic medicine thing didn’t work out. Williams would return a year later, to split carries with his successor Ronnie Brown, to have a moderately successful year. Then, Williams failed the NFL drug policy for the fourth time, getting suspended for the entire 2006 season.


After spending a season in the CFL, Williams worked hard to get reinstated by the NFL. And by reinstated I mean smoking 3 bulbs daily, instead of regular 6. Playing. He was reinstated in 2007, only to get injured after a lineman stepped on his shoulder in his first game back, ending his season. The Dolphins have apparently renewed his contract though, so hopefully he gets it right on his fourth, no wait fifth try—ah forget it.


Curse Rating: 9/10.


NCAA Football 99 – Charles Woodson (CB, Michigan).


Woodson hasn’t really suffered anything close to a curse in his time in the pros, having a Hall of fame ballot entry level pro career. A multiple time pro bowler, and still playing and contributing with the Green Bay Packers, he’s been about as successful as you can be as a top NFL corner, with the exception of the Superbowl Ring.


Curse Rating: 1/10


NCAA Football 98 – Danny Wuerffel (QB, Florida).


After winning the Heisman trophy, he didn’t do much else in the Pros. A journey man QB in the NFl, Wuerffel played seven seasons with 4 different teams, before having his career highlights come in winning the MVP honors of the NFL Europe World Game 2000.


Curse Rating: 8/10.


Final Curse Rating: 5.6

At the end of the day though, it’s really hard to call it a curse. The Madden Curse is one thing: when a player has already seen incredible success to warrant a cover only to watch his career spiral down the drain.


But it’s harder to ascertain whether it’s a curse for college players who are makinghe difficult jump to the pros. Who's to say it's a curse and not just the fairly common case of a spectacular college athlete, end up being less than mediocre or less than mediocre in the NFL?


With that said, it’s still fairly interesting to analyze. The story isn't over for a lot of these players, only time will really tell. But if I had a dime for every time someone walked into Gamestop and saw NCAA 2002 sitting in the bargain bin with no idea who Chris Weinke was...

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Wednesday, May 7, 2008

New Nyan Boateng Highlight Video

I was pretty surprised to stumble across the following Nyan Boateng Spring Highlight video.



Why? Well for one, up until this point, I haven't seen any footage of any Cal practices, and found it interesting that I found one that actually used official sideline and endzone angles. (By the way, I definitely suggest watching the video in high-res, if you decide to play it in a separate window.)

Secondly, it's no secret that Cal has been incredibly hush-hush in regards to making sure they don't reveal too much information about the team and its practices during the Spring. The absence of a true Spring Scrimmage. The closed practices. The strict prohibition of any photos or media taken of formations. Bob Gregory's refusal to outrightly state that we're switching to the 3-4.

The list goes on.

What I'm not surprised about is Boateng's athletic ability. The guy shows some good speed, and makes some nice grabs. I am however, a little concerned about how open he was getting on some of those plays. I know our defense has outplayed our offense for the most part this spring, but I still break out in hives whenever I see flashes of receivers breaking away from our corners like that (Curse you Robert Meachem).

So how long until the Cal Athletic Department asks that the video be removed? Even though I'm sure it's a private video, hosted on a public forum, I'd be surprised if you all were able to still view this video come this time next week.

[EDIT: The video has already been removed. Sheesh. It didn't even make it a whole day.

I feel bad that you guys came all the way to my site to check out a video that's been deleted, so here's a new Nyan Boateng highlight video, showing off clips from him in HS (playing basketball as well) in addition to some short clips from him at Florida.]

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Tuesday, May 6, 2008

New Cal Uniforms?

For a few weeks now, there have been mumblings and grumblings in the Cal Football fan community of new uniforms to be revealed this upcoming season. No one had really been able to get any confirmation of this or nab any photos of what these might look like.

Until now.

Okay. Not really. The only real “evidence” I found was when I was looking at some gameplay video of NCAA Football 09. In a video highlighting Cal vs. Florida State, we got what may potentially be the new uniforms, in rendered video game form. Take a look for yourself.


More pictures and the video itself after the bump.


Here's a video of actual gameplay action.


As you can see, looks like Cal is going for the single gold stripe on top of the solid Yale blue. And doing some funky stuff with the gold stripes on the pants as well. As if there wasn’t enough reason to think our unis looked a lot like West Virginia’s.

Not sure what I think about it at this point. The Cyberbears at the message boards seem to be pretty much against it at this point. I remember thinking the golden yellow uniforms were a bit strange at first, and now I think they’re pretty sweet. The fact that we haven’t lost in them doesn’t hurt as well.

So if these screenshots indeed prove what our new unis are going to look like this upcoming year, what do you all think?

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